Gun Sales Dip Below 1 Million for First Time in 6 Years

Gun Sales Dip Below 1 Million for First Time in 6 Years

The National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS) numbers are in for July 2025. This is the first month in almost six years that the adjusted NICS numbers estimate less than one million firearm sales.

The adjusted figures, as computed by the National Shooting Sports Foundation (NSSF), are almost 22,000 sales short of one million at 978,731.

In July of 2024, the NSSF calculated adjusted gun sales of 1,064,791. These figures show an eight percent drop in gun sales from last July. The NICS checks themselves fell by only four percent, from 2,021,235 to 1,936,621. About half of NICS checks are being used for purposes other than firearm sales.

NSSF Report: Month of July — 26-Year History

NSSF Report: Last 12 Months year over year data.

The NSSF chart comparing firearm sales over the last twelve months shows a pattern that is very similar. How is it that the numbers from a presidential election year and an off-year without midterm elections are so similar? One possibility is that President Trump dominated the news cycle during both years, both before and six months after his election as president of the United States.

It may be because the old news media have been attempting to drag down President Trump for all of the twenty-four months.

Several factors have slowly reduced the demand for firearms at this time.

President Trump is winning his legislative and court battles. This, combined with a population that contains a majority of Trump supporters, means there is less concern the country will devolve into a nationwide kleptocracy or Anarcho-Tyranny as conceptualized by Samuel Francis in 2022. Victor Davis Hanson sees the Trump administration as a historical counter-revolution. Most of the people in the United States see the United States as moving in the right direction.

The coalition of bureaucrats, college-educated single women, and some minorities, directed by woke cultural Marxists, is a minority of voters, perhaps 25-30 percent. These groups have not been large gun owners in nearly the numbers that Trump supporters have been. The Democratic Party voters’ desire to arm themselves against the false fears of a “Trump dictatorship” cannot make up for the reduction of the fears of Constitutionalists. President Trump’s supporters saw what the Democratic Party was capable of in Biden’s years. The Trump supporters do not fear the federal government as much as they did before Trump was elected President.

The potential for high gun sales remains, even if the motivation has gone down for the moment.

There are about 535 million cartridge firearms in the United States of America. There is the possibility of market saturation. There are about 268 million people over the age of 17 in the United States of America. The number is probably close to 265 million when violent felons and the dangerous mentally ill members of the population are subtracted from the figure. Those 265 million are potential legal firearms owners.

It is not hard to see potential demand for a rifle, pistol, and shotgun for each adult. Those who become firearm owners are likely to discover they want more specialized products, such as target pistols, historical rifles, or waterfowl shotguns.

Today’s private stock of 535 million has taken about 126 years to achieve. This does not take into account population increase or technological advancement. There is a lot of potential for more firearm sales.

A great deal of effort has gone into demonizing the ownership of firearms. When such demonization is countered with factual arguments, demand for firearms is likely to go up.

ME: The ‘Gun Grabbers’ are increasingly screeching to less and less deaf ears. When even the SHEEP are seeing with their own eyes Family, Friends, Neighbors and co-workers Affected by CRIME! (Then the Anti-Gun crowd say’s ‘You are NOT seeing what yer seeing! (which is bloody insulting!) These misguided sheep start to say ‘Hey, just a cotton pickin’ minute–or something to that effect) :grin: We see the effect of Billions of dollars being thrown against the wall to destroy our Constitutional rights and Put or Self Defense Industry OUT OF BUSINESS. Ranges, Gun Shops, Firearms companies and their ‘Support’ companies (Ammo, Body Armor, Mag’s etc) are fighting the fight on many fronts against these DISARMAMENT CL :clown_face: wn’s! This Trump administration is fighting that (Thank God) but even with their efforts Companies are still falling, FFL’s are still folding. Financially I can’t do much in the way of running out and buying more stuff these days. I mean how many guns can one have? :joy: :rofl: :joy: :rofl: :joy: :rofl: Sorry that was just too phunnie forgive me! Rest assured as soon as my paychecks start rolling in again I will be the first to belly up to the counter and point my finger and say’ Give me dat GAT!’ :zany_face: . GUNS and their assorted hardware have far more meaning to me than just STUFF. It is my Hobby, my SELF DEFENSE PLAN, my bid to keep from turning into a recluse and fight tooth and Nail to associate with Society (even though sometimes
often
I really don’t want to):laughing: Reality of this is IT IS OUR RIGHT TO ‘KEEP AND BEAR ARMS!’ and no Billionaire weeny with visions of Socialist Grandeur will stop us all from PROTECTING THAT RIGHT!

God Bless AMERICA! WWG1WGA—NCSWIC!

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You have to admit, the bye-dng regime did more for gun industry sales than any other president.

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Ohh bummer kicked sales up quite a bit too!

Polesmoker, I mean governor Polis definitely drove me to buy some new guns before his unconstitutional permit to purchase law went into effect.

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Pudding and Barry were the best gun salesmen this country has had. The loony left should be proud of the number of Americans those two armed.

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I’ll gladly do my part to help out once I get my LTC back. Excited to be a first time gun owner
 hopefully soon


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I’m not too surprised. 1st, if you buy quality it should last a lifetime, which by definition means they don’t require replacement every so many years. 2nd, improvement in ammunition has made certain calibers more relevant and people are dusting off old gun and using them. 3rd, if you are a hunter you know how much more difficult it is to get a tag. Not surprising that people are giving up, which means thousands of rifles now have no market. 4th, places to shoot have dwindled and ranges have become expensive. That will impact sales in a negative way. 5th, If you bought a gun for this or that 10 years ago, with costs the way they are you may just say that if it was good enough then it’s good enough now. Finally, newer guns allow for so much customization that if you want a suppressor or comp, you buy a new barrel. You want an EDC or competition gun or red dot you change the slide. In days gone by you changed guns, now you can accomplish the same by swapping parts. We haven’t even touched on the cost of training or costs that anti gun states place on individuals. I believe all the above have an impact on new gun sales.

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I hope we’re not letting our guard down.

:thinking:

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Graphs, Charts, Stats can be manipulated
. always have/always will.

The simple FACT is there are enough Firearms in the hands of the GOOD GUYS to END THIS RIGHT NOW. But we wait (because WE are the GOOD GUYS), The Powers that be say ‘WE GOT THIS’, ‘Let us do this BY THE BOOK’, We need to WAKE-UP the last vestiges of Sheeple’’

WHY? While Innocents DIE!

In the ‘Old days’ we got really PISSED OFF because ‘THEY’ Taxed our TEA!’ for Cryin’ out loud!

(I know it’s more than that but it’s funny to me that THAT was part of it) That led to a WORLD CLASS AXX Kickin’ that STILL makes the Limey’s wince!) They were so Cocky, so ARROGANT (sound familiar to anyone?:laughing:) Honestly the Dim’s are a whiney, Self Centered bunch of POS! Now they are criss Crossing the Country to AVOID THEIR DUTY by calling the PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES REALLY AWFUL Names (sticks N Stones MY AXX!)

FIRE THEM ALL!, ARREST THEM ALL, PROSECUTE THEM ALL!, SENTENCE THEM ALL!. They call for a CIVIL WAR? SHUT THESE DUCKERS DOWN. WE THE PEOPLE HAVE THE POWER TO CHANGE THIS COUNTRY FROM A BUNCH OF PANTY WEARING FLAGGETS TO A Solid, Productive, HONORABLE COUNTRY WE’D BE PROUD TO LEAVE OUR KIDS!

Enough of this Bullsh!t!

WWG1WGA

NCSWIC

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Where is the graph for ammunition sales :thinking:

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Runner up

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‘MASTER-BETO!’ OF COURSE!’ :burrito: :burrito: :burrito: :burrito: !!! (They don’t have a you know what emoji!) :joy:

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Just in a lull of the panic buying under DJT. I’m sure it will change in the next election cycle when some governors and federal and state house and senate seats come up for grab.

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Also now, FFL’s don’t have to do a background check if you have a carry permit, atleast here in MI. It’s up to the dealers discretion.

My FFL doesn’t do a check on me cuz I deal with him alot and our daughters are in the same grade so we know each other. He gets a first time customer and runs the check.

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In SC if you have a CWP, there’s no NICS check. How many other states are the same?

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I don’t know which States follow what Laws/Protocols concerning Guns, but what I see is the ‘Bluer’ the.gov the WORST OFFENDERS of the 2nd Amendment they are. Cactus Junction is AWFUL!, I have a Level3 (had) Guard card, CCW, Investigator’s LIC. and Clearance from da Military and I waited LONGER than John Q. Public to pick-up a new GAT
.. Makes No Sense!

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I did my part this year, 2 Taurus G3cs and 1 Browning Buck Mark .22.

All will go to the 3 grandkids when they come of age. :slightly_smiling_face:

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NC is the same as SC.

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Yep, I have my Colorado CHP, none the less, now I need to have a permit to buy a semiautomatic, and even once I’ve gone through that hoop, then I need to do the background check, then wait 3 days
..

Infringement after infringement on top of infringement
.

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@BeanCounter scratch Colorado off your list of possible relocations when you finally escape from the People’s Republic

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Noted. I showed the wife the Stagecoach property.

She says it’s our first choice when we hit the lottery.

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