Have you done an Evidence-Based Threat Assessment?
I was trained in Situational Awareness by former Army Intelligence Officer Will Caito; Will teaches for Sheepdog Response. During the class, you learn to do an Evidence-Based Threat Assessment of where you live, work and play.
One technique Sheepdog Response teaches you is G.R.I.N.
G.R.I.N. stands for
How to do an Evidenced Based Threat Assessment
Global: Who are the bad actors that would want to hurt you?
My family is at church every Sunday. Active shooters have attacked churches so.; an Active Shooter is a possible threat.
C.O.V.I.D. 19 is a Global Threat right now. 1 out of 1,000 people are dying from C.O.V.I.D. 19, and about 3 out of 1,000 are hospitalized because of the virus.
C.O.V.I.D. 19 and an Active Shooter are the least likely possible threats.
Regional: What are the day to day threats in your city?
You can use Neighborhood scout to research crime in your city.
My family lives in Jackson, Michigan . According to Neighborhood scout, the chances of a Jackson resident being a victim of violent crime are 1 in 84 in 2020. This is compared to 1 in 223 in Michigan as a whole.
My family is more likely to be a victim of violent crime in Jackson than to be hospitalized by C.O.V.I.D. 19.
In 2019 there were 119 confirmed shootings in Jackson, according to this article on MLive.
Because of the high number of shootings, stray bullets are a potential threat. A round does not care who it kills.
This article revealed the two areas in Jackson with the most shootings are Blair Park Drive in Northeast Jackson and the southside between Martin Luther King Jr Drive and Fourth Street. These are areas to avoid.
Plus, 419 registered sex offenders are living in Jackson, Michigan. The ratio of sex offenders in Jackson is 79 to 1. This comes from this article. This tells me women and children are likely to be targeted in this city.
Intermediate: The places we live, play and work
I used neighborhood scouts to obtain a report on my Grandparent’ neighborhood. The chances of my grandparents becoming a victim of property crime are 1 in 23. Property crime is defined as burglary, home invasion, and property theft.
Based on this evidence-based Threat Assessment creating a home defense plan makes sense. However, my grandparents have lived in there home for 60 years and never had a problem.
Near: What is within 3 to 6 Blocks of your home?
I searched using the Michigan Public Sex Offender Registry to check and see what types of sex offenders live within six blocks of my Grandparent’ house. I found five men on the registry within six blocks, but none would be a threat to my grandparents or mom based on what I found.
The closest identified possible threats are 4 Pitbulls that live a couple of houses over that get loose sometimes.
If you’re going to create a personal protection plan or home defense plan, then doing an evidence-based Threat Assessment is a good idea.
Have you done a Threat Assessment based on your city or county?
What do you know about violent crime in your area?